Rizki Nauli Siregar

Rizki Nauli Siregar

Postdoctoral Researcher

University of Mainz


I am a Postdoctoral Researcher in the Chair of International Economic Policy at the Gutenberg School of Management and Economics at the University of Mainz. My research aims to provide guidance in dealing with the distributional impacts of globalization.

Research interests: international trade, labor economics, spatial economics, and development economics.

Curriculum Vitae


  • PhD in Economics, 2021

    UC Davis

  • MA in Economics, 2011

    Boston University

  • BA in Economics, 2009

    Universitas Indonesia


Effects of Demand-side Restrictions on High-deforestation Palm Oil in Europe on Deforestation and Emissions in Indonesia

with Jonah Busch, Oyut Amarjargal, Kemen Austin, Farzad Taheripour, Thomas Hertel, and Kellee Koenig, Environmental Research Letters, 2022 [link]

What You Don’t Know About the Codex Can Hurt You: How Trade Policy Trumps Global Health Governance in Infant and Young Child Nutrition

with Katheryn Russ, Phillip Baker, Michaela Byrd, Manho Kang, Hammad Zahid, and David McCoy, International Journal of Health Policy and Management, 2021 [link]

Small and Medium Enterprises in Regional Production Networks: An Indonesian Case

with T.M. Zakir Machmud, in Integrating Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) into the More Integrated East Asia, ERIA Research Project Report 2009, No. 8. [link]

Working Papers

Global Prices and Internal Migration: Evidence from the Palm Oil Boom in Indonesia

[Job Market Paper], previously titled “Global Prices, Trade Protection, and Internal Migration: Evidence from Indonesia”

Abstract: I study how regions respond to price shocks in the presence of internal migration. I examine Indonesia in the 2000s as it faced a commodity boom for palm oil, which became one of its main export commodities. I exploit the variation in the land shares and crop suitability to compute the potential contribution of main crops across district economies as a measure of local exposure to shocks. I find that the commodity boom increased the purchasing power of palm oil-producing districts. These districts also received more migration, providing evidence that palm oil price shocks were no longer localized. Indeed, internal migration spread the windfall. I also find spillover to neighboring districts. However, these relatively higher levels of purchasing power did not last after the commodity boom ended in 2014. I show that the palm-oil sector grew through extensification as a response to the price shocks, with no indication of growth through intensification. I estimate the overall welfare gains in Indonesia between 2005 and 2010 and find substantial gains from migration.

New-consumer Margin at Work: Exposure to Television Ads as Driver of Smoking Prevalence

available upon request, presentation at Tobacco Online Policy Seminar: Video, Slides

Consumer Price Indices for the Poor in Indonesia

with Rizal Adi Prima and Chairina Hanum, report for the The National Team for the Acceleration of Poverty Reduction in the Indonesian Vice President’s Office by SEADI Project of the Boston Institute for Development Economies.

Work in Progress

Price Divergence in Times of Trade Protection

with Jess Rudder and Teguh Dartanto

Consumer Safety Standards and Deep Trade Agreements

with Katheryn Russ, Burkhard Schipper, Phillip Baker, David McCoy, Faiz Ahmed, Julianna Eaton, Kyle Nabors, and Shaelyn Steere

Virtual Migration: Online Labor Markets and Spatial Labor Misallocation

with Samuel Bazzi, Bo Cowgill, and Zoe Cullen
[AEA RCT registry]


At the University of Mainz, I am teaching the following courses in the Winter Semester 2021/2022:

  • Tutorials for Development and Growth (Master of International Economics and Public Policy program),
  • Bachelor Seminar: Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Aspects in International Development. syllabus

I taught as an Associate Instructor for ECN 160B “International Macroeconomics” at UC Davis in the Spring of 2019. Here is the syllabus: syllabus

I also taught as a Teaching Assistant in the following classes at UC Davis:

  • Money, Banks, and Financial Institution (Dr. Derek Stimel)
  • International Economics Relations (Prof. Deborah Swenson)
  • Economic Development in Weak States (Prof. Arman Rezaee)
  • US Economic History post-Civil War (Dr. Janine Wilson)
  • Economic Development (Prof. Wing Woo, Dr. Janine Wilson)

I also taught as a Lecturer at Universitas Indonesia for the following classes:

  • International Economics
  • Mathematics for Economics


How to Thrive Academically in the US

Welcoming Awardee of Endowment Fund for Education in the USA Video, Slides

“Ask a Mentor”: Panel and Info Session in Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences and Digital Projects

Undergraduate Research Center UC Davis (15 Oct 2020)

Reading the Corona: Extraordinary Measures during an Extraordinary Time

The Indonesia Project Australian National University Global Seminar Series (25 March 2020)
Video, Slides

Menempuh Pendidikan Doktoral di Amerika Serikat (Preparing for a Doctoral Program in the US)

RISED (8 June 2020)
Video, Slides


“Saving lives will save Indonesia’s economy," Asia and the Pacific Policy Society, Policy Forum, 6 April 2020.

“Tobacco industry and ‘Making Indonesia 4.0’," The Jakarta Post, 9 April 2019.

“Why should we use national ships for CPO, coal exports?," The Jakarta Post, 20 March 2018.